{"id":63025,"date":"2026-05-15T03:09:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T01:09:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/housesmarketplace.trio-tv.com\/real-estate-agents-hope-kevin-warsh-can-calm-roller-coaster-housing-market\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T03:09:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T01:09:11","slug":"real-estate-agents-hope-kevin-warsh-can-calm-roller-coaster-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/housesmarketplace.trio-tv.com\/ru\/real-estate-agents-hope-kevin-warsh-can-calm-roller-coaster-housing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Real estate agents hope Kevin Warsh can calm roller coaster housing market"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

The Senate\u2019s<\/strong> confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve<\/strong> is already reshaping conversations across the housing industry \u2014 particularly among real estate agents watching mortgage rates, affordability and transaction volume.<\/p>\n

Warsh is set to officially succeed<\/a> Jerome Powell after a contentious confirmation process held against a backdrop of elevated inflation, geopolitical instability and a sluggish but stable labor market.<\/p>\n

For agents, the biggest questions are straightforward. Will borrowing costs finally ease? Will potential buyers regain needed homeownership <\/a>footing?<\/p>\n

The answers, according to experts, are more complicated than a simple yes or no.<\/p>\n

Rates may stabilize \u2014 but volatility remains<\/h2>\n

According to HousingWire\u2019s <\/strong>Mortgage Rates Center, the average rate for a 30-year conforming loan<\/a> stood at 6.66% on Thursday, slightly higher than the previous week as markets reacted to inflation concerns and conflict in Iran that pushed oil prices upward.<\/p>\n

Anthony Lamacchia<\/a>, broker-owner and CEO of Lamacchia Realty<\/strong> and Lamacchia Companies<\/strong>, told HousingWire <\/strong>that even under Warsh, geopolitical turmoil has muddied the water in regard to future rate cuts.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe obviously hope he lowers rates, but the short-term, overnight Fed rate doesn\u2019t exactly directly affect mortgage rates \u2014 it sort of has a peripheral effect,\u201d he said. \u201cThe President has been yelling at Powell to lower rates. He hasn\u2019t done it. I assume Warsh is going to lower rates, but now I think it\u2019ll probably be delayed.<\/p>\n

\u201cThat\u2019s because the Iranian conflict has obviously created some inflation. Last month, the [Consumer Price Index] was high, and that\u2019s aggravating, but what can we do?\u201d<\/p>\n

HousingWire Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami<\/a> agreed that Warsh is widely expected to resist additional upward pressure on rates.<\/p>\n

\u201cHe was hired to cut rates and not raise them,\u201d he said. \u201cSo, Warsh will fight hard to not let the Fed guide rates higher. Regarding rates in the future, mortgage rates were trending below 6.25% before the [conflict in Iran] started. Once that ends and oil prices fall again, getting the rate back to the low 6% or high 5% range is in play again.\u201d<\/p>\n

Still, Mohtashami cautioned agents <\/a>against expecting a return to ultra-low mortgage rates.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s really hard to get mortgage rates below 5.75% with the Fed in a neutral stance and mortgage spreads above normal,\u201d he said. \u201cHowever, mortgage spreads being near normal again means it\u2019s hard for rates to get above 7%.\u201d<\/p>\n

For agents, that could mean operating in a market defined less by dramatic swings and more by a narrower range of borrowing costs that consumers gradually adapt to.<\/p>\n

\u201cMy 2026 range forecast was 5.75%-6.75%, and the high portion of this range needs inflation to pick up and the economy to stay firm,\u201d said Mohtashami. \u201cThe low part of this range needs the growth rate of inflation to cool, or the economy to perform below its potential. This should be the range people should be mindful of.\u201d<\/p>\n

Century 21<\/strong> President and CEO Mike Miedler<\/a> cited agents\u2019 role in calming client worries during times of crisis and uncertainty.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are clearly in a rate\u2011sensitive environment, and what changes first is consumer focus,\u201d he said. \u201cBuyers are paying very close attention to how broader economic signals may impact mortgage rates, even before anything changes in practice. <\/p>\n

\u201cAgents are spending more time helping clients separate headlines from reality \u2014 understanding what impacts buying power today versus what may or may not change down the road.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u2018There\u2019s always buyers\u2019<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Warsh takes control of the Fed at a time of growing disagreement inside the central bank itself.<\/p>\n

At the Federal Open Market Committee\u2019s most recent meeting, policymakers voted to leave the benchmark federal funds rate unchanged at a target range of 3.5% to 3.75%. <\/p>\n

Kevin Warsh \u2014 a former Fed governor during the 2008 financial crisis \u2014 repeatedly told Senators during his confirmation hearing that he would act independently<\/a> from the White House<\/strong> despite pressure from President Donald Trump for lower rates.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere are always buyers,\u201d said Lamacchia. \u201cRates could be 15% and there\u2019s always buyers. The problem is there\u2019s less of them, and the same with sellers. This is a very unique scenario that we\u2019ve been in over the last four years, where, historically, when rates are up, it affects buyers more than sellers.<\/p>\n

\u201cWell, the last four years, it\u2019s affecting sellers as well, because sellers don\u2019t want to give up their rate. They don\u2019t want to give up the 2.83% rate and then trade it for a 6.78% rate.\u201d<\/p>\n

Miedler said meaningful precursors to near-term housing market change are often driven by buyer behavior \u2014 not housing policy. <\/p>\n

\u201cWhen buyers are getting pre\u2011approved earlier, asking more detailed questions about affordability, and sellers are pricing with greater realism, that tells us the market is adjusting,\u201d he said. \u201cThose fundamentals tend to drive transaction activity more reliably than any single economic headline.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn a more stable rate environment, the focus shifts to preparation and education. Agents are guiding clients to understand their buying power clearly, get financially prepared early and be ready to act when the timing is right for them personally.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

Any historical parallels for housing?<\/h2>\n

Fed leadership transitions have often carried major consequences for housing markets \u2014 especially during periods of economic strain.<\/p>\n

In the late-1970s, former Fed Chair Paul Volcker aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation, pushing mortgage rates above 18% and severely slowing home sales. That housing downturn reshaped brokerage practices, with agents increasingly relying on creative financing and seller concessions to keep deals alive.<\/p>\n

More recently, Ben Bernanke inherited the Fed during the collapse of the housing market in the mid- to late-2000s. His response \u2014 including historically low rates and large-scale bond purchases \u2014 eventually helped revive housing demand after the financial crisis.<\/p>\n

Powell\u2019s tenure also transformed the industry. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed slashed rates and purchased mortgage-backed securities, helping drive mortgage rates below 3% and fueling one of the most competitive housing markets in modern history.<\/p>\n

Now agents are entering another transition period \u2014 one defined not by emergency stimulus, but by uncertainty over inflation persistence and the pace of future cuts.<\/p>\n

Lamacchia said it\u2019s difficult to pinpoint a historical parallel for today\u2019s housing market circumstances.<\/p>\n

\u201cI don\u2019t know of any time in the past that in a five-year period, rates went from historically low to a 40-year high,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s wild to me. With the last six years it\u2019s been a roller coaster, a legitimate roller coaster. This is worse [than after the 2008 financial crisis). This housing slowdown is worse than \u201808 as far as total home sales, because there\u2019s just not enough sellers.\u201d<\/p>\n

What agents should watch next<\/h2>\n

Miedler said agents sticking to the basics during difficult conversations with clients about affordability can go a long way. <\/p>\n

\u201cOur strongest agents are helping clients tune out the noise and focus on what they can control,\u201d he said. \u201cThey\u2019re grounding affordability conversations in facts \u2014 buying power, financial readiness and long\u2011term goals \u2014 rather than speculation. In a market where consumers are bombarded with information, that steady, informed guidance is what builds trust and helps clients move forward when they\u2019re ready.\u201d<\/p>\n

Experts also advise agents pay closer attention to inflation reports, Treasury<\/strong> yields and energy prices \u2014 rather than Fed headlines alone.<\/p>\n

\u201cI think we have settled on a [new normal] in the last four years,\u201d said Lamacchia. \u201cBut if rates come down, it\u2019s going to be like rocket fuel. They were coming down. They came down a whole point in 2025. A year ago today, we were at 6.88. If they get back down closer to six, things will start taking off again, just like they were last fall and early this winter.<\/p>\n

\u201cI do think they will improve, but the President had better solve this Iranian crisis fast\u201d<\/p>\n

Warsh\u2019s first Federal Open Market Committee meeting as chair is expected in June<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Markets currently anticipate<\/a> little immediate movement on rates as inflation remains above the Fed\u2019s long-term 2% target, Reuters said.<\/p>\n

For agents, the likely near-term status quo is a housing market still constrained by affordability challenges \u2014 but potentially less vulnerable to the sharp rate spikes that froze many buyers and sellers over the past two years.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Senate\u2019s confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve is already reshaping conversations across the housing industry \u2014 particularly among real estate agents watching mortgage rates, affordability and transaction volume. Warsh is set to officially succeed Jerome Powell after a contentious confirmation process held against a backdrop of elevated inflation, geopolitical instability […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nReal estate agents hope Kevin Warsh can calm roller coaster housing market - Houses Marketplace<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/housesmarketplace.trio-tv.com\/ru\/real-estate-agents-hope-kevin-warsh-can-calm-roller-coaster-housing-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Real estate agents hope Kevin Warsh can calm roller coaster housing market - Houses Marketplace\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Senate\u2019s confirmation of Kevin Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve is already reshaping conversations across the housing industry \u2014 particularly among real estate agents watching mortgage rates, affordability and transaction volume. 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